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8th July 2024 By The Global Heroes Aid and Policy

Haiti's Fragile Peace: A Temporary Respite or Prelude to Chaos?

Haitians have recently experienced a brief reprieve from the escalating violence and political turmoil, thanks to the formation of a new transitional government and the deployment of a Kenya-led stabilization force. However, many fear this is merely a temporary lull before further unrest.

In Port-au-Prince and neighboring areas long plagued by gang violence, residents have cautiously resumed some daily activities despite ongoing attacks. The new transitional government, formed after the July 2021 assassination of President Jovenel Moïse, has brought hope and normalcy. “This brings hope,” said Johnny Etienne, director of communications for Save the Children in Haiti, noting increased public activity despite persistent violence in some areas.

Hundreds of Kenyan police officers arrived in late June, months after gangs united in a coalition, leading to a rebellion and the resignation of acting Prime Minister Ariel Henry. The new government, led by interim Prime Minister Garry Conille, aims to stabilize the nation until elections are held, expected by February 2026 at the latest.

Despite signs of progress, such as reopened schools and improved economic activity, gang violence remains rampant. Nearly 580,000 people have been displaced, and over 3,200 homicides were reported from January to May 2024. Acute food insecurity affects nearly half the population.

The World Food Programme has noted operational improvements, enabling food distribution to thousands in need. However, many health centers remain closed, and infrastructure destruction is widespread. Recent violent incidents suggest the fragile peace could quickly unravel.

Haitians are skeptical of the international stabilization mission, given the history of foreign interventions in their country. Some fear it may repeat past mistakes, while others are desperate for any solution that brings security. The coming months will reveal whether Haiti's current respite is a turning point or just a calm before the storm.

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